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2020-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 37 2-9 0-6 0-0 6 2 3 1 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 36 1-9 0-5 3-4 2 1 0 3 5 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 7-22 3-11 3-3 3 11 3 1 20 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 10-16 5-10 6-6 4 5 0 1 31 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 5-7 0-1 0-0 12 3 1 0 10 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 10-14 7-11 1-2 3 1 0 0 28 - -
Enes Kanter 22 6-9 0-0 0-0 14 0 1 0 12 - -
Rodney Hood 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Anfernee Simons 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 6-14 0-0 1-2 10 5 1 0 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 36 8-16 1-2 7-7 4 4 1 0 24 - -
LeBron James * 35 11-20 3-7 4-5 9 6 2 1 29 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 5-9 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Marc Gasol * 19 2-4 0-1 0-1 7 0 1 2 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 27 3-5 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 2-9 2-8 0-0 0 0 0 1 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 9 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Markieff Morris 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter