Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 36 | 9-20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 31 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 9-9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 30 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 19 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 22 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter