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2020-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 (36.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +36 (127-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 27 5-13 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 0 11 - -
Malik Beasley * 24 3-9 0-3 2-3 5 2 1 0 8 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 20 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 1 4 - -
Jake Layman * 14 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Josh Okogie * 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Jarrett Culver 29 4-11 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 8 - -
Anthony Edwards 28 6-21 1-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Ricky Rubio 18 4-8 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 0-3 0-0 2-4 7 6 3 1 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 13 2-6 1-3 1-3 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Ed Davis 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels 7 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 2 1 6 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 8-12 4-6 0-0 3 3 0 3 20 - -
LeBron James * 26 6-13 1-5 5-7 9 5 1 0 18 - -
Dennis Schroder * 25 5-10 0-3 1-1 4 4 1 0 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 23 3-3 0-0 2-3 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 4-4 3-3 1-1 7 8 0 4 12 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 20 4-12 2-5 2-2 2 3 2 1 12 - -
Montrezl Harrell 19 6-10 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 12 - -
Wesley Matthews 17 2-4 0-2 0-1 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Markieff Morris 15 3-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 2 7 - -
Alex Caruso 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Quinn Cook 8 2-5 0-3 1-1 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Jared Dudley 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 7 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 - -

* = starter