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2020-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 75.8% 24.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.0% 25.0% -
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% -
Points Off/Def 64.7% 35.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -16 (100-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 36 9-15 4-8 0-0 7 1 0 1 22 - -
Devin Booker * 35 8-19 1-6 3-4 5 5 2 1 20 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 5-11 1-2 0-0 15 4 0 0 11 - -
Chris Paul * 27 4-10 0-2 0-0 4 12 0 0 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 25 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Johnson 21 7-9 3-4 4-4 1 1 1 0 21 - -
Cameron Payne 19 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 6 2 0 7 - -
Frank Kaminsky 18 5-10 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 11 - -
Langston Galloway 14 3-4 2-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Jevon Carter 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 33 6-16 3-9 2-2 0 3 1 1 17 - -
Harrison Barnes * 28 4-6 0-1 2-3 7 0 0 0 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 27 5-13 1-2 0-0 8 1 1 0 11 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 26 4-12 0-2 4-6 0 4 0 0 12 - -
Richaun Holmes * 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 11 0 2 1 8 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 26 5-7 3-4 2-2 1 6 0 0 15 - -
Cory Joseph 20 2-4 1-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Glenn Robinson III 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Hassan Whiteside 10 3-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Kyle Guy 5 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Robert Woodard II 2 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter