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2020-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 ✓ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - ✗

Actual: Chicago Bulls -1 (128-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 11-25 5-15 9-9 2 6 2 2 36 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 6-15 2-3 5-6 9 4 0 1 19 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 30 3-16 0-6 2-2 11 0 4 0 8 - -
James Wiseman * 22 3-8 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Damion Lee 20 4-7 4-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Eric Paschall 19 4-8 1-2 6-7 2 2 2 0 15 - -
Kevon Looney 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 5 4 0 2 - -
Jordan Poole 13 3-7 2-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Mychal Mulder 10 2-6 2-5 1-2 0 0 1 0 7 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 35 8-19 4-9 0-0 7 5 0 0 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 11-23 4-12 7-9 7 3 2 2 33 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 8-9 1-2 5-8 13 4 0 0 22 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 7-13 4-7 5-7 7 1 1 1 23 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 3 6 - -
Tomas Satoransky 22 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 20 3-4 3-4 3-4 6 3 0 0 12 - -
Garrett Temple 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Chandler Hutchison 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 8 4 1 0 7 - -

* = starter