Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 23 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 11-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter