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2020-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 32 8-18 1-6 5-5 4 5 0 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 9-15 1-5 8-13 13 5 3 0 27 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 4-10 0-4 0-0 4 5 2 0 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 23 4-7 2-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 20 2-7 0-4 2-2 2 0 1 2 6 - -
Bobby Portis 26 7-12 1-2 2-2 7 2 1 1 17 - -
Bryn Forbes 17 0-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
D.J. Augustin 13 0-6 0-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Sam Merrill 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Nwora 7 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
D.J. Wilson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Torrey Craig 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 38 7-17 0-4 3-4 8 4 1 0 17 - -
Julius Randle * 37 8-17 3-5 10-11 14 7 0 1 29 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 2 1 9 - -
Elfrid Payton * 29 12-16 3-3 0-2 3 7 1 0 27 - -
Reggie Bullock * 16 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Knox II 26 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 7 - -
Alec Burks 20 5-7 4-5 4-5 2 5 0 0 18 - -
Frank Ntilikina 18 4-6 4-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Nerlens Noel 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Jared Harper 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter