Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 28 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 38 | 7-22 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 19 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter