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2020-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (128-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 43 14-22 0-2 3-4 13 3 0 1 31 - -
James Harden * 43 12-22 6-13 14-16 4 17 1 0 44 - -
P.J. Tucker * 42 3-10 1-4 0-2 11 1 1 1 7 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 38 3-8 1-4 4-6 3 1 1 0 11 - -
David Nwaba * 26 4-10 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 2 10 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 37 5-9 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Sterling Brown 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Brodric Thomas 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Caboclo 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 43 17-30 9-16 1-2 3 8 1 0 44 - -
Damian Lillard * 41 11-28 5-13 5-5 5 9 1 0 32 - -
Robert Covington * 38 3-7 1-4 2-2 8 0 2 1 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 36 2-4 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 1 6 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 34 5-11 0-2 2-6 11 6 0 1 12 - -
Carmelo Anthony 20 2-9 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 5 - -
Enes Kanter 18 4-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 10 - -
Rodney Hood 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 9 2-5 2-5 1-2 1 0 1 2 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter