Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 43 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 10-20 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 19 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 28 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 18 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 28 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 24 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 29 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter