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2020-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -19 (106-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 33 8-11 0-1 6-11 10 11 1 0 22 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 28 8-14 1-4 1-1 2 6 1 0 18 - -
T.J. Warren * 26 10-16 0-2 3-4 6 3 0 0 23 - -
Myles Turner * 25 4-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 2 4 9 - -
Victor Oladipo * 25 8-12 5-5 1-1 7 1 2 0 22 - -
Justin Holiday 31 2-5 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 22 5-8 2-4 0-0 8 0 0 0 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 8 3 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 3-10 0-3 0-0 2 2 3 0 6 - -
Jalen Lecque 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Cassius Stanley 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kelan Martin 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 28 6-13 3-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 17 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 6-14 2-8 2-3 9 0 0 0 16 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 2-10 0-1 5-6 6 2 0 2 9 - -
Coby White * 24 4-10 4-7 0-0 2 3 0 1 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 2-6 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Tomas Satoransky 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 9 2 1 6 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 4-12 1-5 1-1 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Garrett Temple 19 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Denzel Valentine 12 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 11 - -
Daniel Gafford 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 8 1-3 0-1 3-3 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Chandler Hutchison 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Adam Mokoka 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter