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2020-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 โœ— (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -20 (89-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 32 5-9 0-0 5-8 9 6 1 2 15 - -
Tobias Harris * 30 7-14 2-5 1-2 5 2 0 2 17 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 10-20 2-4 5-7 10 2 1 1 27 - -
Seth Curry * 29 6-8 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Danny Green * 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 5 3 4 0 6 - -
Shake Milton 22 4-8 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 18 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Mike Scott 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 15 4-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 1 9 - -
Tyrese Maxey 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 37 2-15 0-6 6-8 6 4 0 0 10 - -
Julius Randle * 34 11-15 2-2 1-2 7 3 1 0 25 - -
Reggie Bullock * 27 2-7 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 24 5-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 2 11 - -
Elfrid Payton * 18 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Alec Burks 30 6-13 4-6 6-6 5 3 2 1 22 - -
Kevin Knox II 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 17 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel 15 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Frank Ntilikina 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter