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2020-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 ✓ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - ✗
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - ✗

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (119-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 45 15-23 2-3 0-1 2 3 3 0 32 - -
Darius Garland * 43 9-14 3-3 0-0 5 12 2 1 21 - -
Andre Drummond * 43 7-21 0-2 9-14 16 5 4 3 23 - -
Isaac Okoro * 41 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Kevin Love * 37 4-12 3-8 4-5 9 3 0 0 15 - -
Cedi Osman 25 7-12 4-7 4-6 4 0 1 0 22 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 7 2 2 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 14 4-7 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Dante Exum 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Griffin * 44 9-21 8-16 0-0 6 4 3 0 26 - -
Jerami Grant * 42 9-14 4-8 6-8 10 2 0 3 28 - -
Delon Wright * 42 5-9 2-3 7-9 6 4 0 1 19 - -
Mason Plumlee * 32 3-6 0-1 0-0 9 5 3 0 6 - -
Killian Hayes * 19 1-7 0-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Derrick Rose 33 4-15 1-2 4-6 4 4 0 0 13 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 4-9 1-6 3-3 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Jahlil Okafor 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Josh Jackson 18 2-6 0-3 2-2 8 1 1 1 6 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 8 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Saddiq Bey 6 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter