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2020-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - ✗
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 ✗ (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (112-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 35 5-11 2-4 3-3 11 3 0 2 15 - -
Trae Young * 35 10-24 1-7 15-17 3 9 0 0 36 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 32 2-10 1-9 2-2 9 2 1 0 7 - -
Cam Reddish * 32 2-8 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 - -
John Collins * 27 4-9 0-3 5-5 10 0 1 2 13 - -
Kevin Huerter 26 8-12 4-5 1-1 2 4 1 0 21 - -
Bruno Fernando 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 0 0 - -
Solomon Hill 12 2-5 1-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Goodwin 11 1-4 1-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Nathan Knight 8 4-5 2-3 4-5 3 0 0 0 14 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 36 8-15 2-6 2-2 14 1 0 2 20 - -
Ja Morant * 33 10-21 2-7 6-8 3 7 0 1 28 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 8-23 3-11 0-0 2 2 2 0 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 29 2-6 1-5 5-5 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 2-6 1-3 8-10 12 4 1 1 13 - -
Desmond Bane 22 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 - -
John Konchar 15 1-3 1-3 4-4 4 0 2 1 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 6 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter