Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (122-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 41 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 41 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 8-20 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 29 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 41 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 29 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 41 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter