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2020-12-24

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (119-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Walker IV * 34 6-9 3-4 1-1 6 2 1 1 16 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 7-14 0-0 14-15 9 9 1 1 28 - -
Keldon Johnson * 32 5-10 1-3 5-7 5 3 3 0 16 - -
Dejounte Murray * 30 9-15 1-3 2-2 6 9 2 0 21 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 28 9-17 1-4 1-1 3 1 0 1 20 - -
Rudy Gay 21 4-9 1-5 1-2 7 1 0 3 10 - -
Patty Mills 19 5-11 2-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 4 - -
Devin Vassell 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 18-27 1-2 7-8 2 9 2 1 44 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 7-14 1-3 1-1 4 6 2 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 6-11 1-1 2-6 13 2 1 1 15 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 3-8 1-3 0-0 10 2 0 0 7 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 5 0 1 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 5-9 0-2 0-1 3 0 0 1 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 - -
Tyus Jones 13 3-5 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 2 5 - -
Desmond Bane 10 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter