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2020-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 (20.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -20 (104-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 25 5-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Trae Young * 25 10-12 5-6 12-14 6 7 0 0 37 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 24 4-6 1-2 4-4 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Cam Reddish * 23 6-11 1-3 2-2 6 0 2 0 15 - -
John Collins * 18 6-10 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 2 14 - -
Solomon Hill 28 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Kevin Huerter 27 4-10 2-6 1-2 2 4 1 0 11 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 5-12 3-8 2-3 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Bruno Fernando 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 0 5 - -
Brandon Goodwin 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Nathan Knight 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 33 5-11 1-3 5-6 4 1 1 1 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 6-9 4-6 5-5 7 4 1 0 21 - -
Coby White * 30 2-11 1-7 4-4 2 7 1 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 2-5 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Zach LaVine * 25 9-19 1-8 3-3 2 1 1 0 22 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 23 5-10 0-2 4-4 5 1 2 0 14 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Chandler Hutchison 18 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 - -
Daniel Gafford 16 2-4 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Adam Mokoka 16 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 1 4 - -

* = starter