Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -14 (99-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 28 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| JJ Redick | 28 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Norman Powell | 23 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter