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2020-12-24

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (121-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 35 7-15 0-2 3-4 9 9 0 0 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 11-15 3-3 1-2 8 5 0 0 26 - -
Reggie Bullock * 25 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Elfrid Payton * 22 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 3 3 - -
Alec Burks 31 6-12 2-4 8-9 4 3 1 1 22 - -
Obi Toppin 23 3-12 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 2 9 - -
Kevin Knox II 18 2-5 0-1 0-1 3 0 2 1 4 - -
Immanuel Quickley 12 1-3 0-1 3-3 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Nerlens Noel 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 4 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -
Theo Pinson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 36 11-18 2-4 8-12 13 5 1 0 32 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 8-16 2-4 3-3 7 8 2 0 21 - -
Myles Turner * 28 4-9 0-4 2-2 8 1 0 8 10 - -
Victor Oladipo * 28 9-14 2-5 2-3 4 4 1 0 22 - -
T.J. Warren * 22 2-8 0-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 28 5-12 0-6 3-4 6 2 1 0 13 - -
Justin Holiday 22 2-6 1-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 5 1 0 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 17 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -

* = starter