Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +23 (138-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 24 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 31 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 30 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 28 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 21 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter