Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (106-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 11-26 | 0-6 | 10-12 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 35 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter