Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (122-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 37 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 13-26 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 38 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 13-24 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 12-28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 25 | 7-15 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter