Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✓ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +26 (128-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boban Marjanović * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 18 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Reaves | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 31 | 11-20 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 25 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter