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2020-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% -
Log Adjusted 80.9% 19.1% -
Points Off/Def 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (119-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wilson * 30 5-10 2-5 0-0 8 1 1 0 12 - -
Khris Middleton * 20 5-13 0-1 4-5 4 4 0 0 14 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 20 1-7 0-2 1-2 1 5 2 0 3 - -
Brook Lopez * 19 6-14 2-8 5-5 9 1 0 1 19 - -
Pat Connaughton * 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Frank Mason III 25 7-13 3-6 1-2 4 8 1 1 18 - -
Robin Lopez 21 2-9 0-4 1-2 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Kyle Korver 20 1-3 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Sterling Brown 19 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 7-13 3-5 0-2 4 4 1 0 17 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 17 1-4 0-2 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Marvin Williams 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 5-17 0-4 2-2 13 10 0 0 12 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 32 11-17 2-3 2-2 19 12 0 0 26 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 12-18 4-7 3-5 2 2 0 1 31 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 3-6 2-4 2-4 3 6 2 1 10 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 19 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 28 4-9 0-2 2-4 7 1 1 1 10 - -
Grayson Allen 27 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Gorgui Dieng 15 1-6 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 7 - -
John Konchar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter