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2020-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - βœ—
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 βœ— (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - βœ—
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 26.5% 73.5% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (122-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 32 5-8 1-4 4-5 8 13 2 1 15 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 26 11-23 5-11 0-0 6 9 2 0 27 - -
Harrison Barnes * 24 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Cory Joseph * 19 5-6 3-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Alex Len * 14 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Jabari Parker 29 9-10 1-2 0-1 8 6 0 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield 26 10-17 8-14 0-0 5 2 2 0 28 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Yogi Ferrell 19 4-7 2-4 1-2 1 2 3 0 11 - -
Justin James 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Kyle Guy 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Corey Brewer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Talen Horton-Tucker * 34 6-15 2-5 0-0 4 3 3 0 14 - -
JaVale McGee * 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 8 - -
Markieff Morris * 19 5-9 4-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 14 - -
LeBron James * 14 6-13 2-5 3-3 3 4 0 0 17 - -
Danny Green * 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Quinn Cook 30 4-11 1-5 3-3 4 4 0 1 12 - -
Dion Waiters 25 8-15 3-6 0-1 3 5 0 0 19 - -
JR Smith 25 5-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Jared Dudley 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 12 1-3 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 11 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Devontae Cacok 8 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter