Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | β (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 29 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 25 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 24 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 24 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sindarius Thornwell | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ * | 37 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 24 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker | 14 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter