Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (123-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 27 | 6-16 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 27 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Frazier II | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 15 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 18 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter