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2020-08-10

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - βœ“
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 βœ“ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +27 (128-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 34 8-16 2-4 4-5 10 3 1 1 22 - -
Abdel Nader * 25 6-9 2-4 1-1 1 0 2 0 15 - -
Mike Muscala * 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 11 - -
Chris Paul * 23 3-9 1-5 7-7 5 7 2 0 14 - -
Luguentz Dort * 20 2-8 1-4 3-3 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Deonte Burton 32 0-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Hamidou Diallo 22 4-13 0-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Terrance Ferguson 17 1-5 0-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Devon Hall 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Andre Roberson 13 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Hervey 12 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 8 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Johnson * 32 6-11 4-8 2-2 4 3 0 2 18 - -
Devin Booker * 29 9-17 3-7 14-14 5 4 0 2 35 - -
Mikal Bridges * 28 6-14 5-8 1-2 6 1 1 0 18 - -
Dario Šarić * 22 7-12 1-3 1-1 9 2 1 1 16 - -
Ricky Rubio * 20 2-5 0-1 3-4 5 9 1 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 37 3-3 2-2 0-0 5 5 3 2 8 - -
Cameron Payne 32 4-12 2-4 4-4 6 5 3 0 14 - -
Deandre Ayton 17 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Jalen Lecque 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Frank Kaminsky 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter