Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | β (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | β |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -17 (112-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 32 | 10-21 | 3-12 | 9-9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 27 | 7-16 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 33 | 14-20 | 6-11 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Frazier II | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker | 12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Corey Brewer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter