Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 20 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 20 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 27 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 31 | 10-16 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter