Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (136-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 12-27 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 13-26 | 1-7 | 7-14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 43 | 10-19 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 41 | 12-24 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 40 | 9-24 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 20 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter