Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | β (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (134-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 47 | 12-33 | 5-16 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles * | 45 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 44 | 8-19 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 41 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 39 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Miye Oni | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jarrell Brantley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 45 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 41 | 11-21 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 10-25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 46 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 28 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter