Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (26.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +29 (121-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 19 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 27 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 13 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Roberson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Hervey | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devon Hall | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 24 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 23 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter