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2020-08-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 8-16 1-4 4-7 5 3 2 2 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 5-8 0-0 7-9 12 3 0 1 17 - -
Quinn Cook * 29 2-11 0-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 6 - -
Danny Green * 24 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 20 4-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 10 - -
Dion Waiters 24 2-10 0-4 4-4 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Dwight Howard 20 2-4 0-0 4-8 15 1 1 0 8 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 19 4-6 0-2 2-4 2 1 4 0 10 - -
Markieff Morris 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
JR Smith 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jared Dudley 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Tucker * 36 2-6 2-4 0-0 6 2 2 0 6 - -
James Harden * 35 11-19 5-10 12-12 8 12 3 1 39 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 33 5-13 2-9 2-2 3 1 0 1 14 - -
Robert Covington * 33 3-7 2-4 0-0 6 2 3 2 8 - -
Ben McLemore * 30 7-13 5-10 1-1 4 1 1 1 20 - -
Austin Rivers 32 2-10 2-7 5-6 3 5 0 0 11 - -
Jeff Green 27 6-13 3-10 0-0 4 3 2 0 15 - -
Michael Frazier II 11 0-3 0-3 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter