Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (111-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 38 | 10-23 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 18 | - | |
| Paul George * | 36 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 24 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Patrick Patterson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Joakim Noah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Terance Mann | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 35 | 10-21 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 17 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 31 | 5-15 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter