Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +15 (140-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 21 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 22 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 21 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 15 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 37 | 13-20 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 12-21 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Corey Brewer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter