Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -19 (86-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 24 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 22 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Roberson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devon Hall | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 30 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dion Waiters | 25 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| JR Smith | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter