Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 43 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 8-11 | 20 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 41 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 27 | 6-18 | 0-7 | 10-11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Joseph * | 42 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 12-27 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 20 | 1-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 30 | 8-20 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 23 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter