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2020-08-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 39 5-21 1-10 0-0 5 8 0 0 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-17 2-8 6-8 2 2 1 2 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 31 5-13 2-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 29 5-9 0-2 3-3 13 1 1 4 13 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 2-9 0-4 1-1 5 3 0 2 5 - -
Grayson Allen 31 6-10 5-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 17 - -
Brandon Clarke 23 5-8 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 3 - -
Anthony Tolliver 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 34 2-7 2-7 1-2 4 6 4 0 7 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 6-12 1-3 2-3 4 3 1 0 15 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 8-16 2-4 6-10 7 5 2 0 24 - -
Derrick Favors * 28 1-4 0-0 0-2 13 0 0 1 2 - -
Zion Williamson * 25 9-21 0-1 5-10 7 5 0 0 23 - -
JJ Redick 29 5-11 3-7 3-5 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Josh Hart 24 5-6 2-3 3-3 7 0 0 0 15 - -
Nicolo Melli 19 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter