Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 38 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 18-19 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 39 | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 24 | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 1-12 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 40 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 31 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 18 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 19 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 9 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter