Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (120-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 34 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 14-25 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 4-14 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 38 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-12 | 11-13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 19 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter