Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (106-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 28 | 3-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Zeller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 34 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter