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2020-08-01

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 ✓ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +23 (126-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 24 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Ingram * 23 5-11 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Lonzo Ball * 23 2-6 2-4 1-2 6 3 0 0 7 - -
Derrick Favors * 21 5-7 0-0 2-4 9 2 0 0 12 - -
Zion Williamson * 14 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Nicolo Melli 25 2-9 0-6 4-6 1 3 1 0 8 - -
Frank Jackson 22 5-15 0-3 1-2 5 6 0 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 21 4-5 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 0 9 - -
Josh Hart 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 5 - -
JJ Redick 16 2-6 2-4 5-5 0 0 0 0 11 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 12 6-7 2-3 1-2 1 2 2 0 15 - -
Kenrich Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 26 6-16 2-6 10-11 6 5 1 0 24 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 26 4-9 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 9 - -
Paul George * 25 8-17 8-11 4-5 3 1 3 0 28 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 1-2 0-0 4-8 9 3 2 1 6 - -
Patrick Beverley * 18 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Landry Shamet 24 2-5 2-5 3-5 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Patterson 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Reggie Jackson 20 5-9 3-4 2-2 8 2 2 0 15 - -
JaMychal Green 16 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Rodney McGruder 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Terance Mann 11 1-5 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Joakim Noah 6 0-1 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Amir Coffey 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter