Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (149-153). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 43 | 13-30 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 23 | - | |
| James Harden * | 43 | 14-20 | 3-9 | 18-21 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 52 | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 42 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 42 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 39 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 13 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 42 | 11-27 | 1-9 | 5-9 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 41 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 38 | 13-26 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 34 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 29 | 11-16 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter