Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (129-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 17-33 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 31 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 19 | 2-13 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 21 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter