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2020-07-30

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 34 11-17 6-11 2-4 5 3 3 0 30 24 -
Reggie Jackson * 34 3-10 1-4 3-4 6 4 0 0 10 10 -
Kawhi Leonard * 33 7-16 3-4 11-13 3 4 2 2 28 23 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 -
Ivica Zubac * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 5 -
JaMychal Green 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 7 -
Landry Shamet 22 1-8 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 -3 -
Patrick Patterson 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 9 -
Patrick Beverley 16 3-7 2-3 4-5 1 1 0 0 12 7 -
Joakim Noah 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 7 -
Amir Coffey 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 8-19 2-5 16-17 8 4 0 0 34 27 -
LeBron James * 34 6-19 2-7 2-2 11 7 1 1 16 17 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 2-8 0-3 2-3 1 2 1 0 6 2 -
Danny Green * 25 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 1 -
JaVale McGee * 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 6 11 -
Kyle Kuzma 31 4-8 4-7 4-5 7 2 0 1 16 18 -
Alex Caruso 27 2-7 0-2 3-6 4 2 1 0 7 7 -
Dion Waiters 21 5-10 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 11 7 -
Dwight Howard 12 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 2 1 0 1 7 -
JR Smith 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Markieff Morris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter