Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 10-22 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 10-22 | 2-8 | 6-11 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 39 | 4-15 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic * | 31 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter