Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (98-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 36 | 11-19 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joe Chealey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 3-13 | 3-13 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 30 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 29 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 31 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 26 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter