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2020-03-11

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% +0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (131-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Harkless * 40 6-13 0-4 2-3 6 6 1 0 14 - -
RJ Barrett * 39 9-14 2-5 6-6 5 4 2 1 26 - -
Julius Randle * 38 13-22 3-6 4-4 11 3 1 1 33 - -
Elfrid Payton * 34 4-8 0-0 3-4 5 12 4 1 11 - -
Taj Gibson * 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 3 9 - -
Mitchell Robinson 26 7-7 0-0 2-7 6 0 1 2 16 - -
Frank Ntilikina 23 1-7 1-3 5-6 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 3-7 3-3 3-4 3 0 2 0 12 - -
Bobby Portis 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Wayne Ellington 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 41 9-20 1-6 3-4 15 0 2 1 22 - -
Trae Young * 37 12-25 6-12 12-15 2 11 0 0 42 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 5-12 3-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 4-9 0-4 0-0 2 7 1 1 8 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 27 3-8 0-3 0-0 13 1 1 0 6 - -
Cam Reddish 34 5-13 1-5 0-0 6 0 2 1 11 - -
Jeff Teague 18 5-7 1-1 4-4 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Bruno Fernando 15 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Vince Carter 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Treveon Graham 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter