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2020-03-10

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 โœ— (24.8 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -24 (107-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 25 9-14 2-5 3-3 4 5 2 0 23 - -
Paul George * 22 5-13 3-7 2-2 1 5 1 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 22 3-4 2-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Beverley * 20 5-10 4-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Ivica Zubac * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 1 4 - -
Landry Shamet 26 2-10 1-7 5-5 1 5 1 0 10 - -
JaMychal Green 25 5-8 3-6 0-0 10 2 0 0 13 - -
Rodney McGruder 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 19 6-12 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Reggie Jackson 19 6-7 3-4 1-1 0 4 0 1 16 - -
Amir Coffey 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Patterson 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 32 8-16 3-8 2-4 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Damion Lee * 30 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Marquese Chriss * 27 3-5 0-0 4-4 10 2 0 0 10 - -
Mychal Mulder * 26 1-9 0-7 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Eric Paschall 32 4-12 1-4 3-4 2 7 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Poole 26 6-10 2-6 3-4 1 3 1 0 17 - -
Dragan Bender 25 8-12 2-5 5-5 7 3 0 0 23 - -
Ky Bowman 24 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Chasson Randle 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 - -

* = starter